Geoeconomic and risk analysis
Produced a 2026–2028 Moldova outlook on European Union Growth Plan implementation, energy change and Transnistria-related risks. Separately combined 32 interviews, political statements and 814 regional media items to explain participation dynamics in Gagauzia.
Analysed 645 months of market data and rolling relationships between policy expectations, inflation, the dollar, gold and oil. Built a regime-based framework to distinguish persistent patterns from relationships that changed as monetary conditions shifted.
Risk assumptions and transmission mechanisms made explicit for use by strategy, finance or communications workstreams.
Source triangulation and careful separation of evidence, inference and uncertainty.
Send the Terms of Reference or project brief. I’ll draw on relevant work and propose the scope I can own for your project.
Discuss this project role